Title: Predicting flow and transport in complex Karst systems
Period: 1. 5. 2023 - 30. 4. 2029
IDAEA-CSIC (Spain): Marco Dentz (corresponding PI)
IFPEN (France): Benoit Noetinger (PI)
University of Neuchatel: (Switzerland): Philippe Renard (PI)
University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics (Slovenia): Bojan Mohar (PI)
INRIA (France): Sylvain Lefebvre
Simon Fraser University (Canada)
Research activity: hydrology, hydrogeology, physics of flow and transport, geological networks
Karst aquifers are a treasure and a threat: while up to 25% of the world population depends on them for drinking water, they also have capabilities for extremely fast conduction of water and contaminants. In the light of climate change, we need to prepare for extreme flooding and understand the consequences for karst aquifers. Despite their socio-economic importance, decades of research, and high-profile disasters, karst structures and processes remain notoriously difficult to assess. Because of the complexity of karst and its lack of accessibility, the foundations of flow and transport modelling in karst systems are weak. Key phenomena related to extreme events such as flash floods and heavy tails in tracer recovery are still beyond current modelling capabilities.
KARST will establish the next generation of coupled stochastic modelling frameworks to predict karst processes, assess the vulnerability of karst aquifers, and forecast their response to extreme events. Our approach will bridge structures and processes on all scales, far beyond the capabilities of current theories and computer simulations. This will be achieved by targeting three key objectives: (i) Identification and quantification of flow and transport dynamics at the conduit scale. (ii) Characterization and modelling of karst network structure at the catchment scale. (iii) Derivation of a new upscaled approach to predict karst processes at different resolution scales. Together, this will result in an unprecedented multiscale modelling framework for the prediction of flow and transport in karst.